Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.019782 0.021382 0.023051 0.024921 0.026961 0.029119 0.031577
2025-09-28 0.017132 0.019426 0.021946 0.024924 0.028356 0.032193 0.036820
2025-10-05 0.015319 0.017996 0.021054 0.024814 0.029331 0.034600 0.041240
2025-10-12 0.014107 0.017056 0.020531 0.024948 0.030438 0.037072 0.045745
2025-10-19 0.013111 0.016245 0.020038 0.024997 0.031347 0.039256 0.049936
2025-10-26 0.012251 0.015508 0.019548 0.024960 0.032076 0.041185 0.053848
2025-11-02 0.011521 0.014869 0.019112 0.024926 0.032756 0.043035 0.057710
2025-11-09 0.010726 0.014085 0.018423 0.024490 0.032841 0.044054 0.060458
2025-11-16 0.010021 0.013371 0.017774 0.024049 0.032862 0.044948 0.063039
2025-11-23 0.009519 0.012895 0.017410 0.023961 0.033341 0.046473 0.066568
2025-11-30 0.009030 0.012407 0.016995 0.023764 0.033637 0.047727 0.069747
2025-12-07 0.008602 0.011979 0.016636 0.023618 0.033981 0.049046 0.073070
2025-12-14 0.008147 0.011504 0.016206 0.023376 0.034214 0.050278 0.076446
2025-12-21 0.007800 0.011170 0.015963 0.023396 0.034841 0.052140 0.080939
2025-12-28 0.007448 0.010807 0.015656 0.023297 0.035269 0.053710 0.085052
2026-01-04 0.007185 0.010561 0.015506 0.023422 0.036042 0.055845 0.090207
2026-01-11 0.006922 0.010299 0.015316 0.023468 0.036682 0.057791 0.095156
2026-01-18 0.006658 0.010022 0.015086 0.023433 0.037180 0.059522 0.099837
2026-01-25 0.006412 0.009762 0.014868 0.023401 0.037674 0.061260 0.104625
2026-02-01 0.006097 0.009377 0.014435 0.022995 0.037514 0.061878 0.107453
2026-02-08 0.005802 0.009010 0.014013 0.022583 0.037319 0.062414 0.110147
2026-02-15 0.005596 0.008778 0.013796 0.022501 0.037679 0.063924 0.114719
2026-02-22 0.005382 0.008522 0.013529 0.022318 0.037848 0.065099 0.118726